2013 International Energy Workshop

- Materials -

Download the detailed programme

List of participants
Download the list of participants

Interviews to keynote speakers
The interviews to Carlo Carraro, Jos Delbeke, David Hobbs, Jiang Kejun, Leena Srivastava and Jorge Vasconcelos, keynote speakers of IEW2013, are available here

Papers and slides:
Opening Session
Understanding game changers in energy market developments
Chair: Bob van der Zwaan, Senior Scientist at ECN, Co-Director of the IEW
Opening Remarks
Maria van der Hoeven, Executive Director at the International Energy Agency
Keynote Speech
Fatih Birol, Chief Economist at the International Energy Agency: Contribution of Modelling to Policy Making in an Evolving Energy Landscape

Plenary Session 1
Decarbonising the energy sector: the challenges ahead
Chair: Geoffrey Blanford, Programme Manager at EPRI, Co-Director of the IEW
Keynote Speakers:
Jos Delbeke, Director-General for Climate Action, European Commission: EU Climate and Energy Policy until 2020 and beyond
Jorge Vasconcelos, Chairman of New Energy Solutions: Decarbonisation: electrifying times ahead
Carlo Carraro, President of the Università Ca’ Foscari Venezia: Aligning Energy Markets Dynamics and Climate Policy Targets in Europe

Plenary Session 2
Assessing emerging economies growing energy needs
Chair: Jean-Paul Bouttes, Executive Vice President Strategy and Prospective for EDF Group
Keynote Speakers:
Leena Srivastava, Executive Director at TERI: India: Drivers of Energy Demand Growth and Sustainable Response Options
Kejun Jiang, Senior Researcher of ERI, National Development and Reform Commission: Energy Transition in China Given a 2° Target

Parallel Session 1
A1. Carbon Capture and Storage
Chair: Martin Haigh
Florian Kraxner: A Geologically Explicit Analysis of BECCS Potential in Indonesia
Elena Claire Ricci: Future Prospects of Carbon Capture Technologies: An Expert Elicitation (read the paper)
Stéphane Tchung-Ming: Joining the CCS Club! Insights from a Northwest European CO2 Pipeline Project
Geoffrey Blanford: Is Overshoot Optimal? Negative Emissions in a Cost-Benefit Setting

B1. Fossil Fuels
Chair: Marketa Halova
Marketa Halova: Gas Does Affect Oil: Evidence from Inventory Announcements and Intraday Volatility
Christophe McGlade: A Bottom Up Assessment of Oil Field Production Potential in the Medium Term: An Introduction to the BUEGO Model
Rebecca Scott: Rational Habits and Uncertain Prices: Simulating Gasoline Consumption Behavior(read the paper)

C1. Emission Trading Scheme 1
Chair: Jurate Jaraite
Jurate Jaraite: Firm Trading Behaviour and Transaction Costs in the European Union's Emission Trading System: An Empirical Assessment
Thijs Jong: Is the EU ETS Relevant? The Impact of Allowance Over-allocation on Share Prices
Claudia Kettner: The EU Emission Trading Scheme Sectoral Allocation Patterns and Factors Determining Emission Changes
Nikolaos Tasios: Medium-Term Impacts of Efficiency and RES Policies on EU ETS

D1. Energy and Climate Modelling 1
Room: Louis Amstrong
Chair: Vatsal Bhatt
Vatsal Bhatt: Energy and Climate Modeling in U.S. Northeast Corridor Re-gional Earth System Model
Manuel Welsch: Why CLEWS Matter - A Focus on the Energy System of Mauritius
Rocco De Miglio: Caspian Energy Systems: Multiregional Model and Analyses of the Interregional Trades (read the paper)
Dmitry Gordeev: Application of RU TIMES Model for Climate Policy Evalua-tion under Uncertainty

E1. Renewables and Electricity 1
Room: Auditorium
Chair: Asami Miketa
Johannes Bollen: EU Energy Roadmap: Learning and Intermittency (read the paper)
Osamah Alsayegh: Optimum Capacity Installation of Renewable Energy for Electricity Generation in Kuwait by 2035
Daniel Shawhan: Estimating the Long-Run Effects of Environmental Policies on the Electricity Grid: Prices, Investment, Demand Response and Resulting Carbon Dioxide Emissions
Stephen Poletti: Will Wind Kill Energy-Only Electricity Markets

Parallel Session 2
A2. Energy Efficiency
Chair: Jean Chateau
Jean Chateau: Economic Impacts of Energy Efficiency Investments Simulation of the 2012 IEA Efficient World Scenario in the OECD ENV-Linkages Model (read the paper)
Ibon Galarraga: Price Effects of Energy-Efficiency Labels in Spanish Auto-mobiles (read the paper)
Aurelie Mejean: Energy Efficiency Policies and Climate Change Mitigation Costs: A General Equilibrium Assessment (read the paper)
Paul Brockway: Peak Exergy and the Exergy Multiplier Effect: Results and Implications of 1900-2010 Exergy Conversion Efficiency Studies for the UK, US and Japan

B2. Bioenergy
Chair: Ruud Kempener
François Cattier: Optimizing Biomass Contribution to Global Energy Balance (read the paper)
Mark Howells: Climate, Land, Energy and Water (CLEW) Interlinkages in Burkina Faso: An Analysis of Agricultural Intensification and Bioenergy Production
Mathilda Eriksson: The Role of the Forest in an Integrated Assessment Model of the Climate and the Economy (read the paper)

C2. Emissions Trading Scheme 2
Chair: Ruben Lubowski
Jon Strand: Incomplete Dynamic Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Policy: Taxes versus Cap-and-Trade (read the paper)
Ruben Lubowski: Modeling Spot and Options Markets for Avoided Deforesta-tion Credits: The Role of Multiple Market Instruments under Climate Policy Uncertainty
Steve Rose: Accounting for Market Realities: Greenhouse Gas Offset Supply Incentives
William Shobe: Experimental Tests of Mechanism Design for the California Cap and Trade Program (read the paper)
Kirat Djamel: Evidence of a Nonlinear Effect of the EU ETS on the Electricity Generation Sector

D2. Energy and Climate Modelling 2
Chair: Jan Duerinck
Martin Densing: Global Energy Scenarios 2050 of the World Energy Council (read the paper)
Jan Duerinck: A 100% Renewable Energy System In Belgium by 2050 Assessment of Different Long Term Trajectories to Transform the Current Belgian Energy System into a 100% Renewable Energy Mix
Thiemo Pesch: German Energy Concept versus Grid Development Plan 2012. A Discrepancy?
Olivia Ricci: Fukushima's Impact on the European Power Sector: A Long-Term Policy Analysis Using TIAM-FR

E2. Economics of Renewable Energy Technologies
Chair: Jose M Chamorro
Jose M Chamorro: Valuation of Wind Energy Projects: A Real Options Approach (read the paper)
Ivonne Pena: Economic Analysis on the Profitability of Wind in Portugal between 1992-2010
Janosch Ondraczek: Are We There Yet? Improving Solar PV Economics and Power Planning in Developing Countries: The Case of Kenya (read the paper)
Jan Prusa: Economic Loss in Czech Photovoltaic Power Plants
(read the paper)

Parallel Session 3
A3. Industry
Chair: Ali Hasanbeigi
Ali Hasanbeigi: Bottom-Up Assessment of Chinese Manufacturing Growth and Energy Use up to 2020 (read the paper)
Johannes Morfeldt: The Future of Global Steel Production - An Energy and Cli-mate Modelling Exercise Using ETSAP-TIAM and SAAM

B3. Uncertainty
Chair: Joe DeCarolis
Zsuzsanna Csereklyei: Modelling Primary Energy Consumption under Model Uncertainty (read the paper)
Joe DeCarolis: How Much Should We Value Uncertainty in Energy System Planning?
Shunsuke Mori: Contribution of CCS, Nuclear Power and Biomass under Un-certainty - Decision Making on Min-Max Regret and Max Expected Utility Strategies
Johannes Emmerling: Geoengineering and Abatement: A 'Flat' Relationship under Uncertainty (read the paper)

C3. Carbon Tariff
Chair: Thomas Rutherford
Huichen Chien: The Integrated Energy Taxation for Green Fiscal Reform: A Dynamic Three-Part Tariff Approach
Thomas Rutherford: The Strategic Value of Embodied Carbon Tariffs
Karl Steininger: The Relevance of Carbon Free Production Processes for Car-bon Leakage and Carbon Border Adjustment

D3. LIMITS Special Session 1
Chair: Emanuele Campiglio
Emanuele Campiglio: A Macroeconomic Perspective on Climate Change Mitigation: Meeting the Financing Challenge
Jessica Jewell: Energy Security of China, India, the EU and the US under Long-Term Scenarios: Results from Six IAMs (read the paper)
Tom Kober: Regional Burden Sharing Regimes for Reaching a Global Long-term Climate Change Control Target
Giacomo Marangoni: Bridging the Clean Energy R&D Gap to 2 °C

E3. WEO Special Session
Chair: Christian Besson
Marco Baroni and Brent Wanner: Modelling the Power Sector and Electricity Prices in IEA's World Energy Outlook
Christian Besson: Modelling the Surge in Light Tight Oil Production in IEA’s World Energy Outlook
Fabian Kesicki: Modelling the Potential for Industrial Energy Efficiency in IEA’s World Energy Outlook
Timur Gül: Modelling Oil Demand from Road Freight Transport in IEA’s World Energy Outlook

Parallel Session 4
A4. Transport
Chair: Veronika Kulmer
Veronika Kulmer: Promoting Alternative, Environment Friendly Passenger Transport: Directed Technological Change in a Bottom-Up/Top-Down CGE Model
Robert Pietzcker: Long-Term Transport Energy Demand and Climate Policy: Alternative Visions on Transport Decarbonization in Energy-Economy Models
Kalai Ramea: Incorporation of Consumer Vehicle Demand in Energy Sys-tems Models and the Implication for Climate Policy Analysis
Jacob Teter: Global Transportation Demand and Fuel Uses in a Carbon Constrained World

B4. Challenges in Energy Modelling
Chair: Antti Lehtila
Baptiste Perrissin Fabert: The Comparative Impact of Modeling Structures on Climate Policies
Céline Guivarch: Enhancing the Policy Relevance of Scenario Studies through a Dynamic Analytical Approach Using a Large Number of Scenarios (read the paper)
Anna Krook Riekkola: Challenges in Top-Down and Bottom-Up Soft Linking: The Case of EMEC and TIMES-Sweden
Antti Lehtila: Decomposing the Global TIAM MACRO Model to Assess Climatic Change Mitigation

C4. Climate Impact
Chair: Maryse Labriet
Birgit Bednar-Friedl: Climate Change Impacts on the Electricity Sector in Continental Europe: A Linked Modeling Approach
Maryse Labriet: Impacts of Climate Change on Heating and Cooling: A Worldwide Estimate from Energy and Macro-Economic Perspective
Arne Lind: The Impact of Climate Change on the Renewable Energy Production in Norway National and Regional Analyses (read the paper)

D4. LIMITS Special Session 2
Chair: Bob van der Zwaan
David McCollum: Investments, Offsets, and Incentives: An Analysis of the 2°C Target and What It Takes to Achieve It
Massimo Tavoni: The Distribution of the Major Economies' Effort in the Durban Platform Scenarios
Bob van der Zwaan: A Cross-Model Comparison of Global Long-term Technology Diffusion under a Climate Change Control Target
Nico Bauer: CO2 Emission Mitigation and Fossil Fuel Markets: Dynamic and International Aspects of Climate Policies

E4. Renewables and Electricity 2
Room: Auditorium
Chair: George Giannakidis
Falko Ueckerdt: System LCOE: What are the Costs of Variable Renewables?
Konstantinos Tigas: Incorporating Grid Expansion Calculation Algorithms in the TIMES Model, for Improved Operation under Wide-Scale RES Penetration (read the paper)
Katrin Schaber: Managing Temporary Oversupply from Renewables Efficiently: Electricity Storage Versus Energy Sector Coupling in Germany (read the paper)
Maria Kopsakangas-Savolainen: Economic Value of Intermittent Generation in the Nordic Power Markets

Parallel Session 5
A5. Energy-Economy
Chair: Miguel Rodriguez
Oleg Lugovoy: Forward-Looking Energy Elasticity Parameters for Nested CES Production Function
Baltasar Manzano: The Welfare Cost of Energy Security (read the paper)
Miguel Rodriguez: Rethinking the Environmental Kuznets Curve for CO2. New Evidence and Conclusions

B5. Discounting
Chair: Masayuki Otaki
Niko Jaakkola: Consuming More and Polluting Less, Today: Efficient Climate Policies and Intergenerational Equity (read the paper)
Masayuki Otaki: Endogenous Social Discount Rate, Proportional Carbon Tax, and Sustainability: Do We Have the Right to Discount Future Generations' Utility? (read the paper)
Andrey Polbin: Intergenerational Discounting and Market Rate of Return in OLG version of RICE Model

C5. Electricity Market
Chair: Beat Hintermann
Stéphanie Bouckaert: Assessing the Long-Term Impacts of Demand-Side Integration
Beat Hintermann: Estimation of Carbon Cost Pass-Through in Electricity Markets
Sertac Oruc: A Coupled FTR and Electricity Market Model to Test Strategic Hypotheses in Restructured Electricity Markets
Gönenç Yücel: The Impact of Plausible Changes in the Load Pattern on Ca-pacity Investments and Carbon Emissions: The Case of the Netherlands (read the paper)

D5. Climate Change Mitigation
Chair: Paul David
Christoph Bertram: Carbon Lock-In and Path Dependency Associated with Weak Near-Term Climate Policies
Paul David: Designing an Optimal Path to Global Climate Stability: R&D in a Multi-Phase Climate Policy Framework
Laurent Drouet: Optimal Climate Policies under the 2°C Constraint Using a Probabilistic Climate Model

E5. Climate Agreement
Chair: Massimo Tavoni
Emilson Silva: Perfectly Coalition-Proof Overlapping Environmental Agreements
Massimo Tavoni: Endogenous Participation to a Partial Climate Agreement with Open Entry: A Numerical Assessment
Meriem Hamdi-Cherif: The Costs of a Global Climate Agreement in China: A Tale of Carbon Price, 'When Flexibility' and Quota Allocation
Alexander Golub: Regional IAM: Analysis of Risk-Adjusted Costs and Benefits of Climate Policies

Parallel Session 6
A6. Buildings
Chair: Carsten Schroeder
Daniel Fehrenbach: On the Role of the Residential Heating Sector in the Energy Transition in Germany an Optimising Energy System Model Approach in TIMES (read the paper)
Eoin Ó Broin: Energy Demand Scenarios for Heating in the EU Residential Sector
Carsten Schroeder: Household Formation and Residential Energy Demand: Evidence from Japan
Michael Treiber: Fuel and Stove Diversification in the Light of Energy Transition and Technology Adoption Theory (read the paper)

B6. Green Paradox
Chair: Robert Cairns
Robert Cairns: The Green Paradox of the Economics of Exhaustible Resources
Ulrike Kornek: The Climate Rent Curse: New Challenges for Burden Sharing
Mark Schopf: Keep High-Value Carbon Underground to Prevent the Strong Green Paradox? (read the paper)

C6. Policies in Electricity Generation
Chair: Carolyn Fischer
Taoyuan Wei: Energy Market Impacts of Nuclear Power Phase-Out Policies (read the paper)
Carolyn Fischer: Environmental and Technology Policy Options in the Electricity Sector: Interactions and Outcomes
Bryan Mignone: Cost-Effectiveness and Economic Incidence of a Clean Energy Standard
John Bistline: Electric Power Planning under Uncertainty: Climate Policy and Shale Gas in the US (read the paper)
Evelina Trutnevyte: Nearly Perfect and Poles Apart: Investment Strategies into the UK Power System until 2050 (read the paper)

D6. Energy Use and Technology Change
Chair: Joris Morbee
Francesco Ferioli: A Consumer-Producer Model for Induced Technological Progress
Joris Morbee: A Stock Price Model for Technology Learning in Energy Sys-tems Modelling
Delavane Turner: Endogenous Technological Change in Energy System Model-ing: Implementing and Understanding the Experience Curve
Samuel Carrara: Innovation Benefits from Nuclear Phase-Out: Can They Compensate the Costs?
Benjamin Leibowicz: Representing International Technology Spillovers in a Com-putable General Equilibrium Energy-Economic Model (read the paper)

E6. Renewable Policies
Chair: Gireesh Shrimali
Liu Yang: Bridging Renewable Electricity Subsidy with Carbon Offset Scheme: What Evidence from Wind Technology Diffusion in China?
Cristian Hernandez: Are Renewable Portfolio Standards Effective to Reduce CO2 Emissions? (read the paper)
Lachlan Cameron: Employment in Renewables: A Literature Review and Case Study
Gireesh Shrimali: Financing Renewable Deployment in India: Implications for Policy
Miguel Cardenas-Rodriguez: Inducing Private Finance for Renewable Energy Projects: Evidence from Micro-Data (read the paper)

Massimo Tavoni, deputy coordinator of the Climate Change Economics units both at FEEM and CMCC, Co-Director of the IEW: IEW 2013 Closing

Download the photos of the workshop, of the steering committee meeting and of the social events

Special Issue of Re3 News
Read here the special Issue of the Re3 News entirely devoted to the 2013 International Energy Workshop

Further information
Further information about the workshop and all the materials are available also on the 2013 International Energy Workshop Website.